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Analysis VIP99 Won 11/17This match analysis and final prediction are for the AFCON 2025 Group E Matchday 2 fixture between Equatorial Guinea and Sudan, taking place today, Sunday, December 28, 2025, at the Stade Mohamed V in Casablanca.1 Both teams are desperate for points after opening-day defeats.2 Equatorial Guinea suffered a heartbreaking 21 loss to Burkina Faso (conceding twice in stoppage time), while Sudan was comfortably beaten 30 by Algeria.3 ________________________________________ Final Prediction: Equatorial Guinea Win (1X2) Target Odds: 1.75 1.85 Confidence: High Equatorial Guinea showed far more tactical discipline in their opener than Sudan. Despite being down to ten men for much of the second half against Burkina Faso, they were leading until the 90th minute.4 Sudan is currently in a deep competitive crisis, winless in their last five matches and failing to score in nine of their last eleven.5 With Equatorial Guinea holding a 100% win record in previous head-to-head meetings, they are the cleaAH
CAF NC
Equatorial Guinea
0-1 Sudan
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BigfoulMatch Overview: Equatorial Guinea vs Sudan Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Group E, Matchday 2 Date: Sunday, December 28, 2025 Venue: Stade Mohammed V, Casablanca, Morocco (neutral venue) Kick-off: 15:00 UTC (10:00 AM ET / 3:00 PM GMT) This is a crucial must-win encounter for both teams in Group E after opening defeats. Equatorial Guinea (Nzalang Nacional) lost a heartbreaking 2-1 to Burkina Faso (leading until stoppage-time goals conceded). Sudan (Falcons of Jediane) were outclassed 3-0 by Algeria, compounded by a red card. With Algeria and Burkina Faso on 3 points, the loser here is virtually eliminated; a draw keeps slim hopes alive for third place (best third-placed teams advance). Recent Form & Context Equatorial Guinea: Showed resilience against Burkina Faso despite a red card, but late collapse highlighted defensive fragility. Known AFCON overachievers (reached knockouts in all previous appearances, including quarter-finals in 2023). Sudan: Heavy defeat to Algeria exposed lack of quaAHCAF NC
Equatorial Guinea
0-1 Sudan
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Silas C7Equatorial Guinea VS Sudan Before this tournament, the performances of Equatorial Guinea and Sudan were significantly different. Equatorial Guinea only managed 2 draws and 3 losses in their last five games, indicating a problem of low efficiency in the offensive end. Looking at their historical encounters, their matches in the African qualifiers ended in a 1 - 1 draw and a 0 - 0 draw, suggesting that both sides know each other well and on - the - spot performance is crucial. Equatorial Guinea's goals conceded are relatively concentrated. They conceded goals in their last three games against Liberia, Mali, and Tunisia, showing many loopholes in their overall defense. They are also in trouble at the offensive end, especially having difficulty finding ways to score when playing away. In the last two seasons, they lacked resilience when facing strong African teams, and it was even more difficult for them to gain control when up against opponents with stronger technical abilities. EquatoriaAHCAF NC
Equatorial Guinea
0-1 Sudan
CAF NC
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Prediction Southampton's better form, attacking threat, and Oxford's vulnerabilities make the visitors strong favorites. Expect a 1-2 or 0-2 away win, with over 2.5 goals likely given trends (Southampton games often high-scoring, Oxford conceding regularly). Implied win probability for Southampton is around 48-54%. Asian Handicap Prediction The common Asian handicap line is Southampton -0.5 (equivalent to Southampton to win outright) at around -120 to -122 odds. Back Southampton -0.5, as their quality edge, Oxford's poor run (especially defensively), and managerial uncertainty provide solid value for an away victory. If the line is -0.75, it offers higher returns with half-win potential on a one-goal margin, but -0.5 remains the safer play aligning with predictions.AH
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